The beginning of the week remained disappointing as the technical caught up with the market. The Indian equity market was expected to stall its upmove and in line with the analysis in our previous note, the Nifty corrected in the Mondays trade. The benchmark index ended the day losing 82.05 points or 0.74 per cent.
Relatively much more pain was witnessed in the broader markets as compared to frontline index. Tuesday is likely to see a muted start and if we anticipate a full throwback of the breakout, the Nifty might still have modest downsides to deal with. We expect the weakness, if any, to persist more because of lack of buying than aggravated selling in the market.
Tuesday is likely to see the levels of 10,990 and 11,035 to act as immediate resistance area. Supports should come in at 10,910 and 10,850 zones.
The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 59.3038 and it remains neutral showing no divergence against the price. The Daily MACD still remains bearish while trading above its signal line. No major formations were observed on Candles.
While having a look at pattern analysis, it appears that post break out above the falling trend line pattern resistance, the Nifty seems to have temporarily stalled its upmove and it is consolidating on expected lines with the levels of 10,850 acting as support in case of full throwback occurs.
Overall, we expect a muted trade on Tuesday and some amount of modest downticks may still be expected if the Nifty moves towards full throwback. We recommend preserving cash and abstain from creating major directional positions. It is important to note that there is no structural breach on the charts and the movement seems to be just a temporary stalling of the upmove. However, liquidity should be maintained to protect positions while maintaining a cautious view on the market.
(Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA is Consultant Technical Analyst at Gemstone Equity Research & Advisory Services, Vadodara. He can be reached at [email protected])